Posted on October 13, 2007 by omohundro
Much of our analysis of artificial and natural intelligence is based on the economic concept of rational behavior. This notion was introduced by von Neumann and Morgenstern in their landmark 1944 book “Theory of Games and Economic Behavior”. They only dealt with situations with objective probabilities, but their approach was later extended to subjective [...]
Filed under: algorithms, artificial intelligence, essays, probability | 1 Comment »
Posted on October 5, 2007 by omohundro
An analysis of the likely behavior of self-improving systems was presented at the Singularity Summit 2007. The PDF file for the paper (revised 1/21/08) is:
Stephen M. Omohundro, “The Nature of Self-Improving Artificial Intelligence”
Abstract: Self-improving systems are a promising new approach to developing artificial intelligence. But will their behavior be predictable? Can we be sure [...]
Filed under: algorithms, artificial intelligence, essays, probability, social impact | 9 Comments »
Posted on September 24, 2007 by omohundro
The von Neumann and Morgenstern development of rational economic agents requires events with arbitrary objective probabilities. Objective probabilities in the world usually arise from symmetries and the simplest example is the flip of a fair coin. If a coin comes up heads with probability , we’ll call it an “-coin”. Can we use use [...]
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